Tuesday 22 June 2021

Bitcoin Declines All the Way below $30,000 Mark

Bitcoin, which stabilized briefly after the plunge, fell sharply again. At about 20:30 on June 22, Beijing time, Bitcoin eventually fell below the $30,000 mark.

According to data from Bitcoin quotation website Coindesk, at 20:27 pm on the 22nd, Bitcoin dropped sharply to 29,771 U.S. dollars. The cumulative decline in the past 24 hours reached 9.12%, and it fell to 2,976 U.S. dollars in one day. At this time, $64,829, the highest point in Bitcoin history in April, has been cut below the waist.

Bitcoin Declines

Reuters reported on the 22nd that there was a "death cross" on the technical side of Bitcoin. For Bitcoin, the key is whether it can hold the low of $30066 reached on May 19, which is the initial goal of the bears. A break below this level will strengthen the negative signal of a "death cross".

What has caused the market to pay great attention is the recent continuous efforts of Chinese regulators to strengthen the supervision of Bitcoin, and Bitcoin has also fallen continuously.

On June 21, the People’s Bank of China issued a document stating that it has interviewed some banks such as Industrial and Commercial Bank of China, Agricultural Bank of China, Construction Bank, Postal Savings Bank, Industrial Bank and Alipay on the issue of providing services for virtual currency transactions by banks and payment institutions. And payment institutions. The People's Bank of China pointed out that virtual currency trading activities disrupt the normal economic and financial order, breed the risks of illegal cross-border transfer of assets, money laundering and other illegal and criminal activities, and seriously infringe the people's property safety. Banks and payment institutions shall not provide products or services such as account opening, registration, trading, clearing, and settlement for related activities. Institutions must comprehensively investigate and identify virtual currency exchanges and over-the-counter dealers' capital accounts, and cut off the transaction funds payment link in a timely manner.

As soon as the news came out, six institutions issued announcements and stated that they strictly prohibit any institution or individual from using institutional services to conduct virtual currency transactions, and resolutely refrain from conducting or participating in any virtual currency-related business activities. Encrypted currencies in the global market have heard a collective dive.

China has always made it clear that Bitcoin does not have the "legal status" of currency. Previously, it has clearly forbidden the establishment of Internet platforms to provide transactions for Bitcoin and other virtual currencies, and the exchange between virtual currencies and digital currencies is also prohibited.

On December 5, 2013, the People’s Bank of China and other five departments jointly issued the "Notice on Preventing Bitcoin Risks", stating that Bitcoin is not issued by the monetary authority, and it has no monetary properties such as legal compensation and compulsion, which is not true. Currency. The "Notice" prohibits financial institutions and payment institutions from conducting bitcoin-related businesses and reminds individuals to guard against risks, but it does not expressly prohibit individuals from participating. In 2017, the Central Bank and other 7 departments issued the "Announcement on Preventing the Risk of Token Issuance Financing", prohibiting the establishment of virtual currency trading platforms in China and prohibiting the exchange between virtual currency and legal currency. Subsequently, large-scale virtual currency trading platforms in China have been shut down.

Recently, the Chinese authorities have continued to tighten the supervision of cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin. On May 21, the Financial Stability and Development Committee of the State Council held its 51st meeting and proposed to crack down on Bitcoin mining and trading activities and resolutely prevent the transmission of individual risks to the social field. Since then, Inner Mongolia, Qinghai, Xinjiang, Yunnan and other places have successively introduced measures to combat and punish virtual currency "mining" behavior. On June 20, it was reported that all bitcoin mines in Sichuan were collectively cut off at midnight that day, and bitcoin miners suffered huge losses as a result. The industry believes that the withdrawal of all domestic bitcoin mines is a foregone conclusion.

At the same time, Bitcoin has started this round of vigorous decline in the market, and finally fell below the $30,000 mark on the evening of June 22.

The legitimacy of Bitcoin's identity has always been suspected by global financial official decision-makers, who believe that it has caused chaos to the existing international financial order. The most important thing to ignore is the attitude of the new US Treasury Secretary Yellen, who has always held a negative attitude towards Bitcoin. On January 25, Yellen’s appointment was considered bad news, causing cryptocurrencies to plunge across the board that day, and Bitcoin dropped more than 10% at its lowest point in the day. Prior to January 19, Yellen stated that the United States should be aware of emerging tools for terrorist financing, and that cryptocurrencies have the opportunity to be misused by illegal financing. The government will need to review the ways in which their use can be restricted and ensure that they will not be carried out through these channels. Money laundering activities. Yellen's statement made Bitcoin fall for three consecutive days. And another international financial policy decision-making figure, former President of the European Central Bank Draghi, also has an unfriended attitude towards Bitcoin. Almost at the same time as Yellen, he also stated that Bitcoin is a highly speculative asset that involves money laundering activities, and a regulatory consensus on Bitcoin needs to be reached at the global level.

Thursday 17 June 2021

How Bitcoin's ups and downs disturb chips market?

Virtual currencies mining consumes chips, so the global shortage of chips is Bitcoin's fault? This may not be the case.

Determined to refrain from Bitcoin or any other virtual currency, I thought that all the fuss over cryptocurrencies had nothing to do with me. The painful truth is that as Bitcoin fell, Micron and other chip stocks seemed to follow.

Since Bitcoin hit a high of $63,518 in April, it has started to fall all the way, and is currently standing at around $38,000. At the same time, DRAM prices began to fall almost simultaneously.

The price index of 4GB DDR3, which is composed of 8 512M DRAM particles, began to fall after the high point in March, which is very similar to the price trend of Bitcoin.

DDRAM Chips price Index
DRAM DDR3 4GB 512Mx8 1600MHz Price Index

Bitcoin's plummeting, will bring down DRAM prices?

DRAM prices rise with Bitcoin?

Looking backwards, the price trend of DRAM and the price of Bitcoin do have a certain correlation.
For example, last year, Bitcoin started in October, rose for half a year, and peaked in March; and the DXI index, which represents the prosperity of DRAM prices, started a month later than Bitcoin, and started at the end of November last year. , The rising slopes of the two are very similar.

Then looking forward again, the last wave of Bitcoin's bull market started in September 2017, and it doubled by 5 times in December, with the price rising from $3,500 to $19,000. The price of DRAM also rose again after the consolidation in June-September 2017, and peaked at the same time as the price of Bitcoin in December, and also fell at the same time.

Saturday 5 June 2021

China "Extinguishes" Bitcoin Mining Enthusiasm

The two countries with the greatest influence on cryptocurrencies in the world are China and the United States. China’s policy is absolutely crucial.

After reaching the historical high in April this year, the price of Bitcoin has plunged all the way. The overweight of China's regulatory policies in mid-to-late May is undoubtedly one of the incentives.

Starting on May 18, China has intensively released its regulatory policies on cryptocurrencies: On May 18, the Inner Mongolia Development and Reform Commission established a virtual currency "mining" corporate reporting platform; on the same day, China Internet Finance Association, China Banking Association, China Payment and Clearing Association Issued the "Announcement on Preventing the Risks of Virtual Currency Trading Hype"; On May 21, the State Council’s Financial Commission requested to crack down on Bitcoin mining and trading, and resolutely prevent individual risks from being transmitted to the social field; On May 26, the Inner Mongolia Development and Reform Commission issued a resolute Eight measures to combat and punish virtual currency "mining" behavior solicit opinions. 

BitCoin Mining Factory
In September 2016, 550 Bitcoin mining machines operated day and night in a computer room in Sichuan, China

From 2013, when bitcoin transactions were still regarded as commodity trading behaviors that ordinary people can freely participate in, to the withdrawal of domestic virtual currency exchanges in 2017, and to the clear crackdown on mining behavior, China’s regulatory policies on cryptocurrencies are in The most stringent among the major economies in the world. In view of the influence of Chinese players in the cryptocurrency world, every statement made by the Chinese regulators will directly reflect the large fluctuations in the value of Bitcoin.

Chinese regulation shakes up Bitcoin prices

"The price of Bitcoin is like a child’s face. Whenever it changes, it often rises and falls." A former Bitcoin “mining farm” told a reporter from China News Weekly. Because of a sharp drop in the price of Bitcoin, his The "mine" was at a loss and was shut down before the outbreak of the epidemic in 2020. At that time, the price of Bitcoin was hovering at US$7,000 or 8,000. He also missed the Bitcoin market that started in the middle of last year.

By the end of 2020, the price of Bitcoin has been close to 30,000 U.S. dollars. This trend will continue in 2021 until it hits an all-time high of 64,863 U.S. dollars on April 14.

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